NEW NAR STUDY

Vacation Home Sales Retreat; Investment Sales Leap In 2015

A new study shows that investment purchases increased for the first time in five years.

Vacation home sales cooled off in 2015 but remained at the second highest amount in nearly a decade, while investment purchases increased for the first time in five years, according to an annual survey of residential homebuyers released today by the National Association of REALTORS®.

Mirroring the strong price growth seen throughout the U.S., the median sales price of both vacation and investment homes surged in 2015.

NAR’s 2016 Investment and Vacation Home Buyers Survey, covering existing- and new-home transactions in 2015, found that vacation-homes sales last year declined to an estimated 920,000, down 18.5 percent from their most recent peak level of 1.13 million in 2014.

Investment-home sales in 2015 jumped 7 percent to an estimated 1.09 million from 1.02 million in 2014. Owner- occupied purchases jumped 15.9 percent to 3.74 million last year from 3.23 million in 2014 – the highest level since 2007 (3.93 million). Sales estimates are based on a national online survey including responses from over 2,000 U.S. adults who purchased a residential property in 2015, and exclude institutional investment activity.

Lawrence Yun, NAR chief economist, says vacation sales took a sizeable step back in 2015, but still came in at the second-highest amount since 2006 (1.07 million). “Baby boomers at or near retirement continue to propel the demand for second homes, although headwinds softened the overall volume of vacation sales last year,” he said. “The expanding pool of buyers amidst a dwindling number of bargain-priced properties led to tighter supply and fewer sales and caused the price of vacation homes to rise. Furthermore, the turbulence that hit the financial markets the second half of the year likely seized some would-be buyers’ available cash.”

The median sales price of both vacation and investment homes soared in 2015. The median vacation home price was $192,000, up 28.0 percent from $150,000 in 2014.

The median investment-home sales price was $143,500, up 15.3 percent from $124,500 a year ago.

According to Yun, many of the metro areas with the strongest price appreciation in 2015 were in the South – the most popular destination for vacation buyers – and particularly in several Florida markets. While increased buyer demand contributed to the run-up in prices, it also likely squeezed less affluent households looking to purchase vacation properties.

Vacation-home sales accounted for 16 percent of all transactions in 2015 – down from 2014 (21 percent), but still the second highest share since the survey was first conducted in 2003. The portion of investment sales remained unchanged from a year ago at 19 percent, and owner-occupied purchases increased to 65 percent (60 percent in 2014).

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“Despite a smaller share of distressed properties coming onto the market, investment purchases reversed course in 2015 after declining for four straight years,” says Yun. “Steadily increasing home prices and strong rental demand appear to be giving more individual investors assurance that purchasing real estate will diversify their portfolios and generate additional income of they decide to rent out the home.”

This year’s survey found that in addition to longer-term rentals, investors are most likely to attempt to and rent their properties for less than 30 days. Among investors, 42 percent did or tried to rent their property in 2015 and plan to rent their property in 2016. Twenty-four percent of vacation buyers did or tried to rent their property in 2015 and plan to rent their property this year. Vacation buyers are more likely to use a property manager or social media to rent their property, while investors are more likely to use a traditional real estate agency.

The share of vacation buyers who paid in cash jumped to 38 percent from 30 percent in 2014, while cash purchases by investors decreased to 39 percent from 41 percent a year ago. Of buyers who financed their purchase with a mortgage, over half (52 percent) of vacation buyers and 44 percent of investors financed less than 70 percent of the purchase price.

The overall trend of fewer distressed properties (short sale or foreclosure) on the market resulted in vacation buyers and investors purchasing less of them in 2015. Thirty-six percent of vacation buyers (45 percent in 2014) and 39 percent of investors (44 percent in 2014) purchased a distressed property a year ago.

CHARACTERISTICS OF VACATION-HOME PURCHASES

Vacation-home buyers in 2015 had a higher median household income ($103,700) than those in 2014 ($94,380) and purchased a property that was a median distance of 200 miles away from their primary residence (unchanged from a year ago). Buyers plan to own their property for a median of 7 years, an increase from 6 years in 2014.

With more vacation buyers purchasing single-family homes (58 percent) compared to a year ago (54 percent), the share of those buying a condo (25 percent) or a townhouse or row house (13 percent) decreased in this year’s survey. Forty-percent of vacation buyers purchased in a beach area, 19 percent purchased in the mountains or at a lakefront and 16 percent purchased a vacation home in the country.

Nearly half of all vacation homes bought last year were in the South (47 percent; 41 percent in 2014), 25 percent were in the West (unchanged from a year ago), 15 percent in the Northeast (unchanged from a year ago) and 13 percent in the Midwest (14 percent in 2014).

Over one-third of vacation buyers plan to use their property for vacations or a family retreat (37 percent), 16 percent bought for future retirement plans and only 7 percent purchased to generate income through renting the property, a decrease from 11 percent in 2014.

CHARACTERISTICS OF INVESTMENT-HOME PURCHASES

The typical investment-home buyer in 2015 had a median household income of $95,800 ($87,680 in 2014) and bought a detached single-family home (62 percent) that was a median distance of 22 miles from their primary residence (24 miles in 2014).

Investment buyers last year purchased property for a variety of reasons, with an increasing share from 2014 citing rental income as the primary reason (42 percent; 37 percent in 2014), followed by low prices and the buyer found a good deal (16 percent), and for potential price appreciation (14 percent).

Likely, reflecting growing demand towards renting in the city, investment purchases in urban areas increased to 29 percent (26 percent in 2014). Purchased properties from investment buyers were more likely to be in the South (37 percent) and in a suburban area (41 percent).

Perhaps encouraged by rising housing demand and home prices, over 80 percent of both vacation buyers and investment buyers believe that now is a good time to purchase real estate.

NAR’s 2016 Investment and Vacation Home Buyers Survey, conducted in March 2016, surveyed any type of residential real estate during 2015. The survey sample was drawn from a representative panel of U.S adults monitored and maintained by an established survey research firm. A total of 2,053 qualified adults responded to the survey. Respondents were sampled to meet age and income quotas representative of all home buyers drawn from the NAR 2015 Profile of Home Buyers and Sellers. The 2016 Investment and Vacation Home Buyers Survey can be ordered by calling 800-874-6500 – the report is free to NAR members.^

This article originally appeared in the June 2016 issue of the REAL Trends Newsletter is reprinted with permission of REAL Trends, Inc. Copyright 2016.

The Minnesota REALTORS® is the largest professional trade association in the state with more than 17,000 members who are active in all aspects of the real estate industry.

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